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EXPECTED WAGES OF SELECTED NON-MARKET ECONOMY COUNTRIES
Expected Wage Calculation: 2002 GNI Data
Regression Analysis: 2001 GNI Data
Revised November 2004


  Index of Tables
  EXPECTED 2002 WAGES OF SELECTED NME COUNTRIES  
  CALCULATION OF 2001 WAGES PER HOUR IN US DOLLARS  
  WAGES AND GNI PER CAPITA IN US DOLLARS  
  MANUFACTURING WAGES AND GNI PER CAPITA (graph)  
  NOTES  





EXPECTED 2002 WAGES OF SELECTED NME COUNTRIES *
Country 2002 GNI per
Capita, US$
Expected 2002 Wages,
US$ per Hour
Armenia $790 $0.86
Azerbaijan $710 $0.82
Belarus $1,360 $1.11
Estonia $4,190 $2.34
Georgia $650 $0.80
Kazakhstan $1,520 $1.18
Kyrgyz Republic $290 $0.64
Lithuania $3,670 $2.12
Moldova $460 $0.71
People's Republic of China $960 $0.93
Romania $1,870 $1.33
Russian Federation $2,130 $1.44
Tajikistan $180 $0.59
Turkmenistan $950 $0.93
Ukraine $780 $0.85
Uzbekistan $310 $0.65
Vietnam * * $430 $0.70
Wage Rate = GNP * 0.000437 + 0.512269

* Applicable only to review periods that pre-date the effective date of graduation to market-economy status
(Estonia (01/01/03); Lithuania (01/01/03); Romania (01/01/03); and Russia (04/01/02); Kazakhstan (10/01/01)).

* *   On November 8, 2002, the Department determined that Vietnam will be treated as a non-market economy country for purposes of antidumping duty and countervailing proceedings (see Memorandum for Faryar Shirzad, Antidumping Duty Investigation of Certain Frozen Fish Fillets from the Socialist Republic of Vietnam--Determination of Market Economy Status (A-552-801)).




CALCULATION OF 2001 WAGES PER HOUR IN US DOLLARS
Country Reported Wage Rate Measuring Currency Measuring Unit Hours per Measuring Unit Hourly Wages Reporting Year Inflator to 2001 Inflated Hourly Wages 2001 Exchange Rate, per US$ 2001 Wages, US$ per hour
Algeria 12,323.00 Dinars month 192 64.18 1996 1.1912 76.45 77.22 0.99
Argentina 4.29 Pesos hour 1 4.29 2001 1.0000 4.29 1.00 4.29
Australia 17.38 Dollars hour 1 17.38 1998 1.1065 19.23 1.92 10.00
Austria 26,104.00 Schillings month 192 135.96 1999 1.0507 142.85 15.41 9.27
Belgium 417.56 Francs hour 1 417.56 1998 1.0626 443.68 45.18 9.82
Bolivia 1,120.00 Bolivianos month 192 5.83 2000 1.0159 5.93 6.61 0.90
Botswana 783.00 Pula month 192 4.08 2000 1.0656 4.35 5.84 0.74
Brazil 846.00 Reais month 192 4.41 2001 1.0000 4.41 2.36 1.87
Bulgaria 219.00 Lev month 192 1.14 2000 1.0736 1.22 2.18 0.56
Canada 18.58 Dollars hour 1 18.58 2001 1.0000 18.58 1.55 11.99
Chile 213,394.00 Pesos month 192 1,111.43 2001 1.0000 1,111.43 634.94 1.75
Colombia 420,734.00 Pesos month 192 2,191.32 2000 1.0797 2,365.94 2,299.63 1.03
Costa Rica 128,207.00 Colones month 192 667.74 2001 1.0000 667.74 328.87 2.03
Croatia 4,465.00 Kunas month 192 23.26 2001 1.0000 23.26 8.34 2.79
Dominican Republic 21.60 Pesos hour 1 21.60 1997 1.3092 28.28 16.95 1.67
Ecuador 346.74 Dollars (US) month 192 1.81 2000 1.0283 1.86 1.00 1.86
Egypt 121.00 Pounds week 44 2.75 1999 1.0502 2.89 4.49 0.64
El Salvador 10.09 Colones hour 1 10.09 2000 1.0375 10.47 8.75 1.20
Finland 12,510.00 Markkaa month 192 65.16 1999 1.0603 69.09 6.66 10.37
France 10,230.00 Francs month 192 53.28 1998 1.0391 55.36 7.35 7.54
Germany 14.42 Euros hour 1 14.42 2001 1.0000 14.42 1.12 12.88
Greece 1,539.76 Drachmas hour 1 1,539.76 1998 1.0942 1,684.82 381.70 4.41
Guatemala 1,655.25 Quetzales month 192 8.62 2000 1.0763 9.28 7.86 1.18
India 1,211.10 Rupees month 192 6.31 1998 1.1288 7.12 47.19 0.15
Ireland 7.18 Pounds hour 1 7.18 1998 1.1251 8.08 0.88 9.16
Israel 9,051.00 New Shekels month 192 47.14 2001 1.0000 47.14 4.21 11.20
Japan 297,500.00 Yen month 192 1,549.48 2001 1.0000 1,549.48 121.53 12.75
Jordan 5.54 Dinars day 8 0.69 1999 1.0246 0.71 0.71 1.00
Kenya 5,510.80 Shillings month 192 28.70 1997 1.3124 37.67 78.56 0.48
Korea 1,702,400.00 Won month 192 8,866.67 2001 1.0000 8,866.67 1,290.99 6.87
Malaysia 1,531.00 Ringgit month 192 7.97 2001 1.0000 7.97 3.80 2.10
Mauritius 174.28 Rupees day 8 21.79 2000 1.0539 22.96 29.13 0.79
Mexico 23.26 Pesos hour 1 23.26 2001 1.0000 23.26 9.34 2.49
Netherlands 34.42 Guilders hour 1 34.42 2000 1.0453 35.98 2.47 14.57
New Zealand 17.53 Dollars hour 1 17.53 2001 1.0000 17.53 2.38 7.36
Nicaragua 3,272.90 Cordobas month 192 17.05 2001 1.0000 17.05 13.37 1.27
Norway 24,426.00 Kroner month 192 127.22 2001 1.0000 127.22 8.99 14.15
Pakistan 2,980.97 Rupees month 192 15.53 2000 1.0315 16.01 61.93 0.26
Panama 250.90 Balboas month 192 1.31 1999 1.0181 1.33 1.00 1.33
Paraguay 741,416.00 Guaranies month 192 3,861.54 1999 1.1690 4,514.15 4,105.92 1.10
Peru 27.12 Nuevos Soles day 8 3.39 2001 1.0000 3.39 3.51 0.97
Philippines 7,300.00 Pesos month 192 38.02 2000 1.0610 40.34 50.99 0.79
Poland 1,924.95 New Zlotys month 192 10.03 2001 1.0000 10.03 4.09 2.45
Singapore 3,117.00 Dollars month 192 16.23 2001 1.0000 16.23 1.79 9.07
Slovenia 178,596.00 Tolars month 192 930.19 2001 1.0000 930.19 242.75 3.83
South Africa 4,226.00 Rand month 192 22.01 2000 1.0483 23.07 8.61 2.68
Spain 10.46 Euro hour 1 10.46 2001 1.0000 10.46 1.12 9.34
Sri Lanka 27.10 Rupees hour 1 27.10 2001 1.0000 27.10 89.38 0.30
Sweden 114.90 Kronor hour 1 114.90 2001 1.0000 114.90 10.33 11.12
Switzerland 5,862.00 Francs month 192 30.53 2000 1.0095 30.82 1.69 18.24
Thailand 5,907.00 Baht month 192 30.77 1999 1.0324 31.76 44.43 0.71
Trinidad and Tobago 938.82 Dollars week 44 21.34 1999 1.0929 23.32 6.23 3.74
Turkey 1,640,856.00 Liras day 8 205,107.00 1997 7.2813 1,493,455.24 1,225,590.00 1.22
United Kingdom 10.49 Pounds hour 1 10.49 2001 1.0000 10.49 0.69 15.11
United States 14.83 Dollars hour 1 14.83 2001 1.0000 14.83 1.00 14.83
Zimbabwe 7,351.16 Dollars month 192 38.29 2000 1.7671 67.66 50.00 1.35






WAGES AND GNI PER CAPITA IN US DOLLARS
Country 2001 GNP per Capita, US$ 2001 Wages, US$ per Hour
Algeria 1,650.00 0.99
Argentina 6,940.00 4.29
Australia 19,900.00 10.00
Austria 23,940.00 9.27
Belgium 23,850.00 9.82
Bolivia 950.00 0.90
Botswana 3,100.00 0.74
Brazil 3,070.00 1.87
Bulgaria 1,650.00 0.56
Canada 21,930.00 11.99
Chile 4,590.00 1.75
Colombia 1,890.00 1.03
Costa Rica 4,060.00 2.03
Croatia 4,550.00 2.79
Dominican Republic 2,230.00 1.67
Ecuador 1,080.00 1.86
Egypt 1,530.00 0.64
El Salvador 2,040.00 1.20
Finland 23,780.00 10.37
France 22,730.00 7.54
Germany 23,560.00 12.88
Greece 11,430.00 4.41
Guatemala 1,680.00 1.18
India 460.00 0.15
Ireland 22,850.00 9.16
Israel 16,750.00 11.20
Japan 35,610.00 12.75
Jordan 1,750.00 1.00
Kenya 350.00 0.48
Korea 9,460.00 6.87
Malaysia 3,330.00 2.10
Mauritius 3,830.00 0.79
Mexico 5,530.00 2.49
Netherlands 24,330.00 14.57
New Zealand 13,250.00 7.36
Nicaragua 457.00 1.27
Norway 35,630.00 14.15
Pakistan 420.00 0.26
Panama 3,260.00 1.33
Paraguay 1,350.00 1.10
Peru 1,980.00 0.97
Philippines 1,030.00 0.79
Poland 4,230.00 2.45
Singapore 21,500.00 9.07
Slovenia 9,760.00 3.83
South Africa 2,820.00 2.68
Spain 14,300.00 9.34
Sri Lanka 880.00 0.30
Sweden 25,400.00 11.12
Switzerland 38,330.00 18.24
Thailand 1,940.00 0.71
Trinidad and Tobago 5,960.00 3.74
Turkey 2,530.00 1.22
United Kingdom 25,120.00 15.11
United States 34,280.00 14.83
Zimbabwe 480.00 1.35










  Regression Output:  
Constant     0.512269436
Std Err of Y Est     1.372926598
R Squared     0.928536609
No. of Observations     56
Degrees of Freedom     54
       
X Coefficient(s)   0.000436740484  
Std Err of Coef.   0.000016488034  
       
Wage Rate = GNP * 0.000437 + .512269  



Notes:

General:
The selection of countries was based upon the availability of wage data as reported in the Yearbook of Labour Statistics 2002, International Labour Organisation, (Geneva: 2002); and GNI data as reported in World Development Indicators, The World Bank, (Washington, DC: 2003 and 2004).

Wages:
Wage rates are reported in the Yearbook of Labour Statistics 2002, ILO, (Geneva: 2002), Chapter 5B: Wages in Manufacturing. The years of the reported wage rates range from 1996 to 2001. Wages reported prior to 1996 and after 2002 are excluded from the analysis.

Wages reported by ILO are in most cases based on cash payments received from employers on a regular basis. In addition to remuneration for normal working hours, cost-of-living allowances and other regularly paid allowances are included in wages. Wages do not include remuneration for overtime, bonuses and gratuities, family allowances, or other social security payments made by the employer. See Yearbook of Labour Statistics 2002 for further discussion of wage data.

Where monthly or daily wages are given, hourly wages are calculated assuming 24 working days per month, 5.5 working days per week, 8 working hours per day.

Inflator:
Wages are inflated, where the base year is not 2001, using consumer price index data reported in International Financial Statistics Online Service, International Monetary Fund, (http://www.imf.org). The inflator rate is calculated by dividing the consumer price index for 2001 by the consumer price index for the year the wage rate was reported.

Exchange rates:
Exchange rates are expressed as foreign currency per one U.S. dollar. For the majority of the countries in this analysis, the exchange rates used are as reported in International Financial Statistics Online Service.

Since exchange rates were not available in the International Financial Statistics for Austria, Belgium, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Ireland, Netherlands, and Spain, the Department relied on the exchange rate information which it regularly obtains from Dow Jones B.I.S. and the Federal Reserve and posts on the Enforcement and Compliance web site for these countries. The exchange rates used are 2001 market averages.

National Income:
GNI per capita is reported in World Development Indicators, The World Bank, (Washington, DC: 2003 and 2004). For its regression analyis, the Department used GNI per capita figures from the 2003 publication. For its calculation of expected NME wages, the Department used GNI per capita figures from the 2004 publication. See World Development Indicators for further information.

GNI data was not available in the World Development Indicators for Nicaragua for 2001. Therefore, we used GNI data from the International Financial Statistics. We derived the per capita GNI from the population data included in this source.

Analysis:
Regression based on ordinary least squares method.